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Battery raw materials like lithium carbonate (Li 2 CO 3), lithium hydroxide (LiOH), nickel (Ni) and cobalt (Co) have experienced significant price fluctuations over the past five years. Figures 1 and 2 show the development of material spot prices between 2018 and 2023.
At present, the purchase prices for battery raw materials have probably already benefited from the lower spot market prices, even in longer-running but dynamic contracts. Our estimates give a price level of about 120 USD/kWh for the NMC811 and about 95 USD/kWh for the LFP cell.
That is more than 2.5 times annual demand for lithium-ion batteries in 2024, according to BNEF. “The price drop for battery cells this year was greater compared with that seen in battery metal prices, indicating that margins for battery manufacturers are being squeezed.
However, a high-volume market for all components of battery cells except cathode active material is assumed , meaning that the unit price of all components in a battery cell except cathode active material are independent of factory size. The latter approach is adopted in this work.
In the Battery Update, researchers from Fraunhofer ISI discuss current debates and issues related to battery research, production and development. Prices for key battery raw materials have been subject to enormous fluctuations over the past two years, putting an end, at least temporarily, to the trend of falling battery cell costs.
On a regional basis, average battery pack prices were lowest in China, at $94/kWh. Packs in the US and Europe were 31% and 48% higher, reflecting the relative immaturity of these markets, as well as higher production costs and lower volumes.
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